Geopolitics

Nepal headed in a dreadful direction
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Issue Net Edition | Date : 12 Feb , 2011

“¦the seriousness of the Maoist threat is not being realized because India has large space to absorb the Maoist terror, but Nepal being a small country fell into the Maoist trap.

If the Maoist game plan succeeds, the Nepalese are going to meet the same fate. Much of the blame for this now very plausible scenario must rest with India.

It is India which gave respectability to the Maoists of Nepal. It was ill-equipped and inexperienced to do so. Nepal should have questioned the Indian wisdom especially in the backdrop of the fact that the Indian leadership and a section of its pseudo-intelligentsia have not been able to tackle the Maoist menace in its own country. The other pre-disposition of the Indians is to apply the same Westminster political template in arriving at value judgments with regard to other countries, as if our political system is ideal and infallible, and no other system can better it. It must be remembered that a given political system functions within the framework of a country’s history, geography and sociology. We ignored these basic facts, while facilitating a new democratic process in Nepal. There was nothing new. All the political players and political outfits are known, tried and discredited commodities. The experiment no wonder is failing. Nepal will not be able to even give itself a Constitution.

A new political system cannot be ushered in a vacuum. It cannot be done by destroying powerful symbols of nationhood, which in case of Nepal was the monarchy. A radical political transformation needs a fair and strong transitional arrangement. Unfortunately, in Nepal, this arrangement became hostage to the Maoists after they inveigled their way to power and legitimacy. Expecting them to repudiate their ideology, their belief in one party rule and armed struggle was sheer naivety, puerile intellectual endeavour and deliberate ploy by vested interests, furthering the Maoists cause.

Nepal today is in the throes of uncertainties. It is being steered away from India and closer to China by the Maoists. True to their roadmap, the Maoists have been most focused on their objective of establishing one party rule in Nepal. All posturing and political alliances have been opportunistic in that direction.

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As in Nepal, the same Maoist threat is impacting on India. The same elements are supporting the Maoists. It is evidenced by the clamour of the same vested interests for release of Binayak Sen. Representatives of some of these organizations tried in vain to put international pressure on the Indian judiciary by registering their presence during the Court proceedings in Chattisgarh. Even some section of the English media in India has arrived at the conclusion that Binayak Sen will get justice only in the Supreme Court. They have pre-judged that he is innocent, thereby indirectly attacking the judiciary i.e. High Court and below. The same activists, international human rights groups and the media has nothing to comment about the Kangroo courts of the Maoists.

An ex-army chief of the Nepal Army warned the Indians not to commit the same mistake as Nepal in dealing with the Maoists. He said that the Nepal Army on many occasions could have easily obliterated the top Maoist leadership, but refrained from doing so because they had the faith and belief that the Maoists could be brought into the mainstream. He said that it was a cardinal mistake to have believed the treacherous Maoist leadership. With regard to India, he warned that the seriousness of the Maoist threat is not being realized because India has large space to absorb the Maoist terror, but Nepal being a small country fell into the Maoist trap.

Jhalanath Khanal and his party, the CPN (UML) have succumbed to the Maoist treachery. The new prime minister has bartered Nepal. There are many Indians on an overdrive to do the same with India.

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The views expressed are of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions or policies of the Indian Defence Review.

About the Author

RSN Singh

is a former military intelligence officer who later served in the Research and Analysis Wing, or R&AW and author of books Asian Strategic and Military Perspective, The Military Factor in Pakistan and The Unmaking of Nepal. His latest books are Know the Anti-Nationals (English) and Know the एंटी-नेशनल्स (Hindi).

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