Geopolitics

China has done India a Favor
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China has done India a Favor, 4.6 out of 5 based on 52 ratings
Issue Net Edition | Date : 11 Aug , 2017

China did India a favor in 1962 by waking up the Indian government, especially the deceptive Prime Minister of the time, though it really killed him very quickly after. The conflict brought the Prime Minister to his senses about the reality of defense, military, and the realpolitik. The conflict made India to consequently invest heavily in defence. This came after 15 years of denial of growth to the Indian military. The massive re-militarization drive and expansion of the armed forces, especially to mention the massive expansion of the Border Roads Organization of that time, was a godsend for India when Pakistan attacked in 1965. Had China not attacked India, Kashmir and more might have been in Pakistan’s hands in 1965. The continued attention to military matters at the time, largely as a result of the 1965 war, helped in the liberation of Bangladesh in 1971. The boundaries of India could well have been different today, i.e., worse, had it not been for the wake-up call of 1962. Let’s thank the Lord God for what we must thank Him for.

Had China not attacked India, Kashmir and more might have been in Pakistan’s hands in 1965. The continued attention to military matters at the time, largely as a result of the 1965 war, helped in the liberation of Bangladesh in 1971.

The Pakistan invasion continued to keep India awake. But, the victory of 1971 and the emergency that followed, lulled India to sleep and put military innovation on the back burner, exemplified by the submarine-manufacturing program being shelved in the 1970s.

Kargil

Through all of the 1970s and 1980s India was being considered by the West as a Soviet-camper, the blatant Kargil operation by Pakistan brought world attention to the aggression by Pakistan, and built world sympathy in India’s favor. The world got more impressed by India after India showed immense political restraint, though many at the time argued for a stronger response, such as crossing the LOC, even though the Indian Chief of Army Staff at the time resignedly stated that – “we will fight with what we have” – a sharp dig at the Indian government, politicians, and IAS babus that had denied India military modernization for two decades. Now, India began to modernize with greater earnestness, though that was probably still not enough.

In any respect, India gained great goodwill around the world as a responsible nation, a development that led to George W. Bush opening up to India in only after a year, as soon as he was elected. This cozying up by USA to India has had its own dividends for India that benefited by receiving modern armaments, new defense technologies – and most importantly – moral support and an alliance as a “natural partner” with USA. Kargil was a great favor to India, mainly because India came out on top after adversity.

India must actually thank China that China’s roads will make it easier for India to go deep into Tibet, which is not Chinese territory.

Attack on Parliament

The attack on Parliament in 2003 further did another great favor to India, as it strengthened India’s resolve to combat terrorism, improve military logistics and troop movements, and developed the cold start doctrine. But then, stupid Indian governments continued to drag their feet on aircraft replacement/replenishment, submarine manufacture, indigenous defense manufacture, or in improving the capabilities of the infantry soldier.

However, major strides came in other areas – aircraft carrier development, raising of a new mountain strike corps (still going slow), and procurement of assets from Israel and USA. In the last three years, major initiatives at military modernization are seen visible.

Doklam

The Doklam incident has made China look like a fool and a bully around the world. Next, India’s strong resolute stand has earned it great respect around the world, and for the first time in a long time, the world has come to recognize that India is no pushover anymore. A new India has emerged. This has further nuzzled China, which is already losing face on the incident – something that the Chinese feel very sensitive about. That Chinese pride has been blunted is good for India and all of China’s neighbors that feel threatened by China.

While Philippines and the world could not stand up to China’s aggression in the South China Sea, and China’s Air Defense Zone is still active around the Senkaku islands, China has drawn no gains from the present episode in Doklam.

China would do India an even greater favor if it were to militarize the Doklam incident, much as it threatens to do within two weeks. First, a bold India could do more than give China a bloody nose – it could maul China.

A war with China will give the Indian Navy a golden the opportunity to interdict all supplies going to China via the Malacca Straits and knock around the PLA Navy in the Indian Ocean – something the Indian Navy has been itching for a long time.

The roads that China has made on its side are also good for India, because an attacking Indian army can use those very roads to reach Lhasa and other strategic bases. India must actually thank China that China’s roads will make it easier for India to go deep into Tibet, which is not Chinese territory.

War with China

A war with China will give the Indian Navy a golden the opportunity to interdict all supplies going to China via the Malacca Straits and knock around the PLA Navy in the Indian Ocean – something the Indian Navy has been itching for a long time. India will also have a great opportunity to attack Chinese assets in Hambantota, Bangladesh, Maldives, and Myanmar – and wherever else in the Indian Ocean. In addition, the Chinese soldiers in Baltistan are sitting ducks for Indian aerial attacks.

A war with China where India comes out better, will be a great boost to India’s morale, avenge the 1962 setback, and make the world pay heed to India as a great power. As such, confidence of the world will restore in India, resulting in an even further increase in FDI coming to India, and boost Indian manufacturing and exports. The confidence of Indians will also be restored, which will have the effect to increase industrial labor productivity in India.

Already, China has done India a favor by making itself look diplomatically insolent. If it is not content with that, it can do India another favor by getting a bloody nose from India, as well. And, if China is still not content with that, India’s contingency plans could include capturing valuable real estate in Tibet and declaring a Free Tibetan government in Lhasa. China will lose great international respect at that time. That will be a windfall for India.

A war with China will vindicate India and remove India’s shackles. A successful war will enable India to advance and progress at galloping speed in its economy, industry, and innovation.

Should some think that China will get into a cyber war and a war of missiles aiming to damage Indian infrastructure and industry, let them not forget that two can play the game. The falsity of Chinese military superiority in Tibet may be exposed. Its airfields are far and at high altitudes, restricting the range of their fighter aircraft. Its soldiers will be at the mercy of the Indian air force, and this time around India will use its air force. Chinese tanks and artillery are not of the high quality that would bring fear to India.

China’s diesel submarines are mostly old, many getting obsolete, and easily picked off by Indian submarine-hunters, if China ever decides to be brave enough to front them. But, India’s aircraft carrier can cause havoc for Chinese shipping and the PLA Navy in the Indian Ocean. China’s economy will take a huge hit because of the interdiction of shipping and will feel the effect after only five days of war. So, let’s hope that Xi Jinping is irrational enough like his younger half-brother Kim Jong-un. A Chinese war with India will be a favor to India.

Closure

And, let’s remember that Chinese pride and arrogance will bring about its downfall. A war with China will vindicate India and remove India’s shackles. A successful war will enable India to advance and progress at galloping speed in its economy, industry, and innovation. The moment in history, and the opportunity of a century is in the waiting for India should China be foolish enough for an misadventure with India.

Of course, I feel for the brave Indian soldiers and officers, and have great pride and respect for them. And, I feel anger at the politicians and former Indian diplomacy that take away India’s pride and honor. Yet, let’s not be scared to face the mythical dragon, and let’s thank the dragon for having a conflict with India, and thus doing a rare favor to India.

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The views expressed are of the author and do not necessarily represent the opinions or policies of the Indian Defence Review.

About the Author

Dr Amarjit Singh

is an independent security analyst.

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16 thoughts on “China has done India a Favor

  1. Dr we may be in a sweet spot right now, at least we think so, but in the long term the prognosis is not too reassuring. Our biggest shortcoming is that we do not have an organised strategic planning body in place. MOD and MEA think they have the capability. They are responsible but have no professional inputs, nor any accountability if things do not pan out as ‘planned’. Some of the shortcomings are-
    a) we have had only a part time defence minister during the last 3 yrs.( Not that the last one who in charge for 8 yrs was any help!) We need a technocrat who is reputed to be a clear headed man able to learn his job on the run. This post like rlys and finance need not be held by party members alone.
    b) MOD must have servicemen integrated into it. This has been accepted by all except the IAS. Defence is as specialised a subject as railways and medicine. Only job in which if things go wrong there are no chances to say ‘sorry’ & the nation may lose face and a chunk of its land. With two enemies on our borders we can’t adopt a chalta hai attitude.
    c) a CDS is a must. I have seen the same missile system purchased by the three services under different names at different prices from the same supplier! The savings could be enormous, but it doesn’t suit the plans of the babus!
    d) Dept of Defence Production must be headed by a soldier and defence PSUs must have soldiers integrated in their organisations.
    e) soldiers should be part of national security decision making process.

  2. Please doctor, forget the chinese. Tell this country how the real enemies of this country, lording it over their lords from the corruption and scam ridden offices of the governments, can be tackled.

  3. India should not fall into a trap of blackmailing of China for supporting its Genocide corridors in return of Doka La.

    China is furious & doing all this with India & Bhutan because both the countries has strongly opposed its Genocide corridors – OBOR in June.
    India should & must not support TKB- Tibet Kashmir Baluchistan Genocide Corridor or CPGC- China Pakistan Genocide Corridor or so called CPEC/OBOR (One Belt One Road)/BRI (Border Road Initiative).

    These areas i.e., Tibet, Kashmir, Kailash Mansarover,Himalayas, Baluchistan are anciently & historically integral part of India.

    A terrorist Mao regime or Mao Republic of China since 1950′s first killed there own King, than its own people and afterwards start capturing Indian northern areas & demolishing peoples fundamental rights & even conducting mass genocides from Tibet to Chinese Occupied Kashmir (Aksai Chin) & now from Gilgit Baltistan to Baluchistan.

    Moreover Mao’s Communist regime of China does not even care to obey/respect International Rules & Regulations, whether it is in case of supply of Nukes & its Technology to North Korea, Pakistan & through Pakistan to Iran, Iraq & Libya. And more recently whether we look in the case of Vietnam Sea (or so called South China Sea), strict violation of the orders of International Court of Justice by China. On regular basis China even violates the territorial boundaries (either water or land) of other neighbouring countries like Taiwan, Mongolia, Brunei, Philippines, Japan, South Korea, Malaysia, Indonesia, Singapore etc.

    In China there are no democratic rights for there own people. People in China does not even have a right to vote, but it is hard to understand why it is called as People’s Republic of China.

  4. Great article indeed. It is the will and resolve of the powers that be (in India) that will be tested, if your proposal is taken up. But I am sure the forces are looking forward for such an opportunity.
    The lead time that China gives (to the anticipated conflict) should enable a mild catch up action.But the real test will be the nations industrial commitment to feed the forces with the requisite arsenal to keep going. The babucracy chokes the forces and that is the biggest hurdle. Unfortunately, the PM has also not unshackled himself from the babucracy – the single greatest expectation from him by the Armed Forces, post his election. Other matters asides, the current stand off is a good starting point for the PM to free himself and set a dynamic agenda on the defence front, on the lines suggested by you above.

  5. While it is true that the Chinese have drawn a blank so far in the Doklam confrontation and are likely to end up with egg on their face it is absurd to talk about a war that takes Indian soldiers into Tibet, attacks on Baltistan, Hanbantota etc.

  6. China has done blunders to bring world order in favour of India. Construction of artificial island in the south China sea. This created an unnecessary confrontation with Japan and the USA. China rejected the verdict of an International court of justice. To by-pass Malacca Strait China constructed CPEC passing through a disputed territory and a Gwadar port. But the CPEC and Gwadar port is a blessing in disguise to India. Both the constructions are within striking distance of India’s missiles. Within minutes the operation in Gwadar port can be crippled. If India imposes sea blockade in the Indian Ocean the USA, Japan and China will not keep quiet. To stop the war they will attack the attack artificial island. The result will be China will lose three GEMS ( Artificial Island, CPEC and Gwadar port). Attacking India for a piece of land is like Hitler’s foolish decision to capture the English Channel.

  7. An ignorant and jingoistic article – brings down the quality of the IDR website. Senior Indian Defence personnel have stated that we do not have enough ammunitions and supplies to fight a war lasting more than 10 days…Its one thing to be patriotic and talk about taking Lhasa, its another think to be naive and stupid – the current government knows this and therefore has opted for the firm but low key approach on resolving this impasse.

  8. wow, looks like a article from some noob.. no disrespect, but I believe you have berated Chinese power even below Pakistan. Not even once did you discuss the possibility of China mauling India. You are supposed to be an analyst and not a ‘blind nationalist’. Of course I want India to win, but don’t make this war to be a cakewalk for India. Emotions don’t in war, guns do. China is far superior to India in tech, resources, numerical strength and what not, just like India is to Pakistan.
    I believe without international support, Its going to be an uphill task for India, not impossible though.
    Lets be rational and learn to call a spade a spade.

  9. Well Said Excellent analyses .. A war with China will give the #Indian Navy a golden the opportunity to interdict all supplies going to China via the Malacca Straits and knock around the PLA Navy in the Indian Ocean – something the Indian Navy has been itching for a long time

    A successful war will enable India to advance and progress at galloping speed in its economy, industry, and innovation.

    Yes India must actually thank #China that China’s roads will make it easier for India to go deep into Tibet, which is not Chinese territory

  10. Reading your article has given me a lot of confidence and made me feel good. Thanks. Please clarify some doubts which I have.
    1. The CAG has said that we don`t have enough ammo or spares to fight more than 10 days. Many of our equipment are not in good working condition according to CAG. SAM Akash missiles which were supposed to be deployed near Sikkim along Siliguri Corridor to defend against air attacks have not been deployed. Given the fact that Chinese not only have more powerful military than us but also enough ammunition to fight a long war, maybe 30-40 days, how can we sustain the fight after the first 10 days?
    2. In a different website, I had read that our airbases and other military assets can be targeted by their ballistic missiles of which they have large numbers. Do we have a Ballistic Missile defence against them?
    3. If Pakistan simultaneously attacks us, can we defeat both?
    4. Will US, Japan or other countries help us? If yes, then in what way?
    5. I believe stealth bombers can be a game changer in this war. Will US be willing to sell or lease to India? After all we had earlier leased a nuclear sub from Russia.
    Coming from a military family, I have the utmost faith and respect for the soldiers at the border. But these above issues have been troubling me. Kindly clarify my doubts.

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