CPEC: Quo Vadis?
Arguments have recently been raised on CPEC including my own. At the end of the day, it seems commercial benefit only that overrides among few others.
The bluff of CPEC is China’s dumb thinking that its cheap goods will always sell, be it in textiles or electronics. But where is the quality stamp vis-à-vis finished reliable European goods?
Today India cannot overrun militarily China, world’s most militarily organised mass army. It was not India’s intention in history either to attack China. Strategically, India can stop China from invading/in-roading into Indian turf, despite Pakistan’s swing help. The real problem is the competing Chabahar port India is building in Iran that challenges China’s hegemony. Here, Iran and Russia and are playing with India against Chinese mass-produced cheap goods.
The bluff of CPEC is China’s dumb thinking that its cheap goods will always sell, be it in textiles or electronics. But where is the quality stamp vis-à-vis finished reliable European goods? Easier transport to India is un-disputable. But China is deliberately picking ISIS infection from ME in its Gwadar port, which it thinks it can easily muster, but wants not to discern.
India’s strength will be in delivering “quality “goods in reliable just-in-time delivery; something Russia to a great and China to lesser, and India to an un-reputable extent can be said of today.
Stronger and wealthier Pakistan is not a danger to India, as long as Pak military control by about 1000 Pak military families is dislodged from Pak “pasha”economy. Pak-uranium-based nuclear missiles would be eliminated by first strike, should Govt. of India decide a selective first use against Pakistan and no first use against China, and to the rest of the world as already is the case. But Pakistan military stupidly believes following a NATO doctrine of nuclear first strike. Oh Dear! What is Nato and what is Pakistan? In practical terms NATO is a conglomerate of world’s richest powerful nations who do not have to be afraid of any sanctions. But the Islamic Republic of Pakistan led by a Pasha entrenched military (ISI) has turned a people begging at the doors of Muslim donors with a bowl.
…in case India decides to go in principle with the selective first strike use against Pakistan, the chances of a nuclear war is greater and with India’s first nuclear use Pakistan will be devastated.
What however must be said, and Pakistan should take care of in the interest of its own citizens, is, in case India decides to go in principle with the selective first strike use against Pakistan, the chances of a nuclear war is greater and with India’s first nuclear use Pakistan will be devastated.
My fundamental question is: Why China, Russia and the U.S. cannot stop Pakistan from its first use stupidity? India would be least interested in overrunning with conventional weapon superiority a terror-infested Islamic Pakistan. Oh no Sir, to inherit what? China has matured now to have enough reasons to discern India’s nuclear capabilities, that it can no more technically dominate militarily anywhere around in Asia. India’s advancing strategic missile capabilities are enough to raise China’s hairs, leave alone Pakistan’s. Pakistan’s problem China has suckled to its own backyard totally, uneconomic, brainless and visionless under present circumstances. That need not be!
My sociological view is that Baluchistan has its problem and should be let devolve itself without India burning its finger. Nevertheless, in a world of long-term peace and diplomacy hopes, it is chauvinistic, philosophically untenable and naïve to look for antipathic solutions, as suggested from certain corners.